Per-district patterns from the v0.1 dataset. Within-sample percentages (caught/total-with-prior)
are sampling-bias resistant; absolute counts reflect data-collection focus and are not national-prevalence
estimates.
About the data-collection bias
The dataset is over-represented in districts where the OBP project has done heavier PACER monitoring.
The "% of successive filers caught" rate within each district is the meaningful comparison; the raw
counts should not be read as national-prevalence rankings.
Per-district rates of § 1328(f)-relevant patterns
District
Ch.13 cases (sample)
Within lookback
Outside lookback
% caught of those with prior
flsbk
2,261
233
1,013
18.7%
ksbk
3,711
353
1,785
16.5%
mowbk
3,994
196
1,959
9.1%
txsbk
3,732
149
1,829
7.5%
ilnbk
337
19
154
11.0%
cacbk
176
10
95
9.5%
flmbk
244
8
114
6.6%
tnwbk
243
7
120
5.5%
insbk
48
6
20
23.1%
njbk
89
5
47
9.6%
Reading the table
"Within lookback" = Ch.13 cases where a prior discharge fell inside the § 1328(f)
window (4 years for Ch.7/11/12, 2 years for Ch.13)
"Outside lookback" = Ch.13 cases with prior history but no discharge in the lookback
window (i.e., the prior was dismissed, or far enough back that the rule doesn't apply)
Within-sample patterns hold across the heavier-monitored districts:
Florida and Kansas show the highest "% caught" rates (16-19%) among the heavily-sampled districts.
This may reflect higher pro-se filing rates, more aggressive Ch.13 successive-filing culture, or both.
Missouri Western and Texas Southern show lower rates (7-9%), suggesting more attorney-represented
filings where pre-petition lookback screening is routine.
Smaller-sample districts (insbk, ohnbk, wiebk) show high rates (23-27%) but with low absolute counts;
these warrant follow-up before any conclusions.
Open dataset
Per-district counts and rates are available as CSV: dataset page.